Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological services like AccuWeather and China Weather project a high temperature of 23-24°C in Chengdu on April 1, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes at 21.5-27.5% implied probabilities. This reflects a warming trend from March 2026's cooler-than-average conditions (15.4°C mean), with March 31 expected sunny and 23°C, transitioning to thickening clouds that could cap daytime solar insolation and differentiate lower (22°C, more overcast) from slightly higher (24°C, partial clearing) peaks. The Sichuan Basin's topography fosters stable spring air masses but introduces uncertainty via potential fog or inversions; historical April highs average 22°C. Watch China Meteorological Administration hourly updates and official station data (e.g., Shuangliu Airport) for resolution as observations unfold tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
$14,062 交易量
$14,062 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
19%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
$14,062 交易量
$14,062 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
19%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological services like AccuWeather and China Weather project a high temperature of 23-24°C in Chengdu on April 1, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes at 21.5-27.5% implied probabilities. This reflects a warming trend from March 2026's cooler-than-average conditions (15.4°C mean), with March 31 expected sunny and 23°C, transitioning to thickening clouds that could cap daytime solar insolation and differentiate lower (22°C, more overcast) from slightly higher (24°C, partial clearing) peaks. The Sichuan Basin's topography fosters stable spring air masses but introduces uncertainty via potential fog or inversions; historical April highs average 22°C. Watch China Meteorological Administration hourly updates and official station data (e.g., Shuangliu Airport) for resolution as observations unfold tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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