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4月2日成都最高溫度？

Market icon

4月2日成都最高溫度？

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

22°C 28%

21°C 24%

23°C 21%

24°C 20%

Polymarket
NEW

22°C 28%

21°C 24%

23°C 21%

24°C 20%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C或以下

$517 交易量

1%

18°C

$448 交易量

4%

19°C

$150 交易量

11%

20°C

$144 交易量

12%

21°C

$121 交易量

24%

22°C

$172 交易量

28%

23°C

$129 交易量

21%

24°C

$111 交易量

20%

25°C

$122 交易量

8%

26°C

$178 交易量

6%

27°C或以上

$514 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Chengdu's highest temperature April 2 favors 22°C (27.5% implied probability) and 21°C (23.0%) amid close clustering, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which project highs of 19–23°C under persistent partly cloudy to overcast conditions. In the Sichuan Basin, early April climatology shows average highs near 20–22°C, modulated by frequent stratus clouds and light southerly moisture advection that suppress daytime solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover thickness—thicker layers cap peaks at 21°C, while breaks could push 23–24°C—and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging; cooler outcomes gain from 25–30% shower risks noted in AccuWeather and BBC guidance. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs through April 1 will sharpen resolution criteria.

Trader sentiment on Chengdu's highest temperature April 2 favors 22°C (27.5% implied probability) and 21°C (23.0%) amid close clustering, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which project highs of 19–23°C under persistent partly cloudy to overcast conditions. In the Sichuan Basin, early April climatology shows average highs near 20–22°C, modulated by frequent stratus clouds and light southerly moisture advection that suppress daytime solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover thickness—thicker layers cap peaks at 21°C, while breaks could push 23–24°C—and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging; cooler outcomes gain from 25–30% shower risks noted in AccuWeather and BBC guidance. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs through April 1 will sharpen resolution criteria.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Chengdu's highest temperature April 2 favors 22°C (27.5% implied probability) and 21°C (23.0%) amid close clustering, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which project highs of 19–23°C under persistent partly cloudy to overcast conditions. In the Sichuan Basin, early April climatology shows average highs near 20–22°C, modulated by frequent stratus clouds and light southerly moisture advection that suppress daytime solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover thickness—thicker layers cap peaks at 21°C, while breaks could push 23–24°C—and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging; cooler outcomes gain from 25–30% shower risks noted in AccuWeather and BBC guidance. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs through April 1 will sharpen resolution criteria.

Trader sentiment on Chengdu's highest temperature April 2 favors 22°C (27.5% implied probability) and 21°C (23.0%) amid close clustering, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which project highs of 19–23°C under persistent partly cloudy to overcast conditions. In the Sichuan Basin, early April climatology shows average highs near 20–22°C, modulated by frequent stratus clouds and light southerly moisture advection that suppress daytime solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover thickness—thicker layers cap peaks at 21°C, while breaks could push 23–24°C—and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging; cooler outcomes gain from 25–30% shower risks noted in AccuWeather and BBC guidance. Daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs through April 1 will sharpen resolution criteria.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月2日成都最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C" at 28%, followed by "21°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"4月2日成都最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "4月2日成都最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月2日成都最高溫度？" is "22°C" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月2日成都最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.