Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spreads for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles centering around 26-28°C amid a persistent subtropical ridge sustaining above-normal warmth from late March's highs near 29°C. Differentiating factors include varying projections for midday cloud cover and light southerly winds, which could cap peaks at 26°C or allow sunnier conditions to push toward 28°C, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Recent ENSO-neutral transition reduces La Niña cooling influences, favoring mild anomalies over the seasonal 23°C baseline. New model runs and SMN updates over the next 48 hours will clarify as frontal timing remains uncertain.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
4月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
28°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 16%
24°C 14%
23°C或以下
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
27%
29°C
13%
30°C
10%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C或以上
5%
28°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 16%
24°C 14%
23°C或以下
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
27%
29°C
13%
30°C
10%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spreads for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles centering around 26-28°C amid a persistent subtropical ridge sustaining above-normal warmth from late March's highs near 29°C. Differentiating factors include varying projections for midday cloud cover and light southerly winds, which could cap peaks at 26°C or allow sunnier conditions to push toward 28°C, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Recent ENSO-neutral transition reduces La Niña cooling influences, favoring mild anomalies over the seasonal 23°C baseline. New model runs and SMN updates over the next 48 hours will clarify as frontal timing remains uncertain.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions