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4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？

Market icon

4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

52-53華氏度 37%

50-51°F 31%

54-55°F 14%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

52-53華氏度 37%

50-51°F 31%

54-55°F 14%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

華氏39度或以下

$209 交易量

2%

40-41°F

$51 交易量

5%

42-43°F

$0 交易量

7%

44-45°F

$0 交易量

7%

46-47°F

$0 交易量

6%

48-49°F

$57 交易量

13%

50-51°F

$11 交易量

31%

52-53華氏度

$25 交易量

37%

54-55°F

$13 交易量

14%

56-57°F

$0 交易量

6%

58°F或更高

$15 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "52-53華氏度" at 37%, followed by "50-51°F" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？" is "52-53華氏度" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-51°F" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.