Market icon

4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？

Market icon

4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

13°C 30%

12°C 28%

14°C 22%

11°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,646 交易量

13°C 30%

12°C 28%

14°C 22%

11°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,646 交易量

8°C或以下

$3,545 交易量

1%

9°C

$1,159 交易量

2%

10°C

$565 交易量

8%

11°C

$664 交易量

16%

12°C

$948 交易量

28%

13°C

$1,315 交易量

30%

14°C

$1,149 交易量

22%

15°C

$529 交易量

6%

16°C

$488 交易量

4%

17°C

$592 交易量

3%

18°C或以上

$700 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a 13°C high for London City Airport on April 2 under overcast skies with 30-40% rain chance and light winds gusting to 17 mph, driving trader consensus toward 12-14°C outcomes with 13°C at 30.5% implied probability. Persistent low cloud limits solar insolation, favoring the 12°C scenario if showers materialize, while brief clearer intervals or weaker northerly air advection could nudge toward 14°C, as hinted in BBC's 14°C light cloud outlook. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around these values amid transitioning high pressure, reflecting typical early April variability after a changeable late March; daily updates will refine cloud cover and temperature trajectories before resolution.

Met Office's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a 13°C high for London City Airport on April 2 under overcast skies with 30-40% rain chance and light winds gusting to 17 mph, driving trader consensus toward 12-14°C outcomes with 13°C at 30.5% implied probability. Persistent low cloud limits solar insolation, favoring the 12°C scenario if showers materialize, while brief clearer intervals or weaker northerly air advection could nudge toward 14°C, as hinted in BBC's 14°C light cloud outlook. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around these values amid transitioning high pressure, reflecting typical early April variability after a changeable late March; daily updates will refine cloud cover and temperature trajectories before resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a 13°C high for London City Airport on April 2 under overcast skies with 30-40% rain chance and light winds gusting to 17 mph, driving trader consensus toward 12-14°C outcomes with 13°C at 30.5% implied probability. Persistent low cloud limits solar insolation, favoring the 12°C scenario if showers materialize, while brief clearer intervals or weaker northerly air advection could nudge toward 14°C, as hinted in BBC's 14°C light cloud outlook. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around these values amid transitioning high pressure, reflecting typical early April variability after a changeable late March; daily updates will refine cloud cover and temperature trajectories before resolution.

Met Office's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a 13°C high for London City Airport on April 2 under overcast skies with 30-40% rain chance and light winds gusting to 17 mph, driving trader consensus toward 12-14°C outcomes with 13°C at 30.5% implied probability. Persistent low cloud limits solar insolation, favoring the 12°C scenario if showers materialize, while brief clearer intervals or weaker northerly air advection could nudge toward 14°C, as hinted in BBC's 14°C light cloud outlook. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around these values amid transitioning high pressure, reflecting typical early April variability after a changeable late March; daily updates will refine cloud cover and temperature trajectories before resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "13°C" at 30%, followed by "12°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？" has generated $11.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？" is "13°C" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月2日倫敦的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.