Latest ECMWF and national Italian model ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 in the 16–20°C range, fueling the close contest among 17°C (27%), 18°C (25.5%), and 19°C (21.5%) outcomes as traders weigh short-range forecast uncertainty. A high-pressure ridge building over central Europe promises mild southerly winds and above-normal temperatures versus March climatological averages of 13–14°C, but divergent cloud cover and boundary layer mixing in recent 00Z runs differentiate the leaders—faster clearing favors 19°C, while persistent stratus supports 17°C. Milan's urban heat island may add 1–2°C to rural readings. Watch ARPA Lombardia's morning updates and 12Z ECMWF refresh for shifts ahead of observational resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月29日米蘭的最高溫度?
3月29日米蘭的最高溫度?
17°C 27%
18°C 26%
19°C 22%
20°C 14%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
8%
17°C 27%
18°C 26%
19°C 22%
20°C 14%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and national Italian model ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 in the 16–20°C range, fueling the close contest among 17°C (27%), 18°C (25.5%), and 19°C (21.5%) outcomes as traders weigh short-range forecast uncertainty. A high-pressure ridge building over central Europe promises mild southerly winds and above-normal temperatures versus March climatological averages of 13–14°C, but divergent cloud cover and boundary layer mixing in recent 00Z runs differentiate the leaders—faster clearing favors 19°C, while persistent stratus supports 17°C. Milan's urban heat island may add 1–2°C to rural readings. Watch ARPA Lombardia's morning updates and 12Z ECMWF refresh for shifts ahead of observational resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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