Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, with 30°C edging out at 29.5% implied probability amid lingering effects from yesterday's storms. Recent heavy rain and winds on March 29 capped heating, fostering persistent partial cloud cover that limits solar insolation and suppresses peak boundary-layer temperatures to 28-29°C per SMN guidance (max 29°C expected). Differentiation hinges on afternoon clearing potential—ECMWF ensembles suggest slight dry air advection could boost to 30°C via enhanced shortwave radiation, while GFS holds cooler under stratiform clouds. High humidity (70-80%) and light easterlies further temper extremes; monitor hourly Aeroparque observations through 5 PM local for resolution-defining peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
3月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
28°C 22%
27°C 12%
$11,645 交易量
$11,645 交易量
26°C或以下
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
33%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
1%
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
28°C 22%
27°C 12%
$11,645 交易量
$11,645 交易量
26°C或以下
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
33%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, with 30°C edging out at 29.5% implied probability amid lingering effects from yesterday's storms. Recent heavy rain and winds on March 29 capped heating, fostering persistent partial cloud cover that limits solar insolation and suppresses peak boundary-layer temperatures to 28-29°C per SMN guidance (max 29°C expected). Differentiation hinges on afternoon clearing potential—ECMWF ensembles suggest slight dry air advection could boost to 30°C via enhanced shortwave radiation, while GFS holds cooler under stratiform clouds. High humidity (70-80%) and light easterlies further temper extremes; monitor hourly Aeroparque observations through 5 PM local for resolution-defining peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions