Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Madrid's April 5 high temperature clustering around 24-27°C under a building high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering sunny skies and light winds that favor mild warming above the 18°C April climatological average from AEMET historical data at Barajas Airport. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with 26°C edging ahead due to deterministic runs near 26°C (equivalent to 79°F in recent extended outlooks), while 29°C or higher gains from potential ridge amplification and 19°C or below from peripheral cloud intrusions or model cool biases. Inherent spring transitional uncertainty—driven by jet stream waviness and soil moisture feedbacks—keeps outcomes tightly matched; watch AEMET's evening update and tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 5?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
29°C or higher 23%
25°C 22%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
23%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
29°C or higher 23%
25°C 22%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:47 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Madrid's April 5 high temperature clustering around 24-27°C under a building high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering sunny skies and light winds that favor mild warming above the 18°C April climatological average from AEMET historical data at Barajas Airport. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with 26°C edging ahead due to deterministic runs near 26°C (equivalent to 79°F in recent extended outlooks), while 29°C or higher gains from potential ridge amplification and 19°C or below from peripheral cloud intrusions or model cool biases. Inherent spring transitional uncertainty—driven by jet stream waviness and soil moisture feedbacks—keeps outcomes tightly matched; watch AEMET's evening update and tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions