Current short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside guidance from sites such as Weather Underground and TimeandDate, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at 26-27°C (79-81°F), under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with low rain chances, explaining clustered trader probabilities around 24-27°C outcomes at 17-19%. This reflects springtime uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where frontal passages and southerly winds can boost highs toward 30°C or higher (25.5% implied odds) via adiabatic warming, while increased cloud cover or northerly flows could suppress to 20°C or below (25%). Historical April averages hover near 22°C, but daily model runs from the China Meteorological Administration through April 3-4 will refine consensus amid inherent forecast divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 17%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
20°C or below
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
12%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
25%
28°C
17%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
26%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 17%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
20°C or below
$5 交易量
3%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$0 交易量
12%
23°C
$0 交易量
14%
24°C
$0 交易量
17%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
17%
27°C
$0 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
17%
29°C
$0 交易量
14%
30°C or higher
$0 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside guidance from sites such as Weather Underground and TimeandDate, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at 26-27°C (79-81°F), under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with low rain chances, explaining clustered trader probabilities around 24-27°C outcomes at 17-19%. This reflects springtime uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where frontal passages and southerly winds can boost highs toward 30°C or higher (25.5% implied odds) via adiabatic warming, while increased cloud cover or northerly flows could suppress to 20°C or below (25%). Historical April averages hover near 22°C, but daily model runs from the China Meteorological Administration through April 3-4 will refine consensus amid inherent forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside guidance from sites such as Weather Underground and TimeandDate, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at 26-27°C (79-81°F), under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with low rain chances, explaining clustered trader probabilities around 24-27°C outcomes at 17-19%. This reflects springtime uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where frontal passages and southerly winds can boost highs toward 30°C or higher (25.5% implied odds) via adiabatic warming, while increased cloud cover or northerly flows could suppress to 20°C or below (25%). Historical April averages hover near 22°C, but daily model runs from the China Meteorological Administration through April 3-4 will refine consensus amid inherent forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside guidance from sites such as Weather Underground and TimeandDate, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at 26-27°C (79-81°F), under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with low rain chances, explaining clustered trader probabilities around 24-27°C outcomes at 17-19%. This reflects springtime uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where frontal passages and southerly winds can boost highs toward 30°C or higher (25.5% implied odds) via adiabatic warming, while increased cloud cover or northerly flows could suppress to 20°C or below (25%). Historical April averages hover near 22°C, but daily model runs from the China Meteorological Administration through April 3-4 will refine consensus amid inherent forecast divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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