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4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？

Market icon

4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

14°C或以上 65%

11°C 18%

13°C 12%

8°C 7.9%

Polymarket
NEW

14°C或以上 65%

11°C 18%

13°C 12%

8°C 7.9%

Polymarket
NEW

4°C或以下

$406 交易量

1%

5°C

$49 交易量

2%

6°C

$35 交易量

3%

7°C

$75 交易量

4%

8°C

$77 交易量

8%

9°C

$37 交易量

8%

10°C

$26 交易量

9%

11°C

$21 交易量

13%

12°C

$10 交易量

15%

13°C

$18 交易量

19%

14°C或以上

$193 交易量

65%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast for Toronto on April 1 projects a high near 6-9°C under cloudy skies with 30-60% chance of showers, reflecting a cool front following recent rain. However, trader consensus implies 62% odds for 14°C or higher, driven by March's record warmth—including a 17.6°C high on March 7—and long-range outlooks like the Farmers' Almanac signaling mild, rainy conditions through April 1-8 amid above-normal spring variability. Model ensembles show uncertainty with potential southerly flow boosting temperatures above seasonal norms of ~9°C; watch for updated Environment Canada guidance and GFS/ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours as resolution nears.

Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast for Toronto on April 1 projects a high near 6-9°C under cloudy skies with 30-60% chance of showers, reflecting a cool front following recent rain. However, trader consensus implies 62% odds for 14°C or higher, driven by March's record warmth—including a 17.6°C high on March 7—and long-range outlooks like the Farmers' Almanac signaling mild, rainy conditions through April 1-8 amid above-normal spring variability. Model ensembles show uncertainty with potential southerly flow boosting temperatures above seasonal norms of ~9°C; watch for updated Environment Canada guidance and GFS/ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours as resolution nears.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast for Toronto on April 1 projects a high near 6-9°C under cloudy skies with 30-60% chance of showers, reflecting a cool front following recent rain. However, trader consensus implies 62% odds for 14°C or higher, driven by March's record warmth—including a 17.6°C high on March 7—and long-range outlooks like the Farmers' Almanac signaling mild, rainy conditions through April 1-8 amid above-normal spring variability. Model ensembles show uncertainty with potential southerly flow boosting temperatures above seasonal norms of ~9°C; watch for updated Environment Canada guidance and GFS/ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours as resolution nears.

Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast for Toronto on April 1 projects a high near 6-9°C under cloudy skies with 30-60% chance of showers, reflecting a cool front following recent rain. However, trader consensus implies 62% odds for 14°C or higher, driven by March's record warmth—including a 17.6°C high on March 7—and long-range outlooks like the Farmers' Almanac signaling mild, rainy conditions through April 1-8 amid above-normal spring variability. Model ensembles show uncertainty with potential southerly flow boosting temperatures above seasonal norms of ~9°C; watch for updated Environment Canada guidance and GFS/ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours as resolution nears.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14°C或以上" at 65%, followed by "13°C" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？" is "14°C或以上" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13°C" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月1日多倫多氣溫最高？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.