Environment Canada’s latest short-range forecast for Toronto on April 2 projects a daytime high near 4°C amid persistent cloud cover and 60% chance of showers, aligning with elevated trader allocations to 4°C (17.5%) and 5°C (17.5%) outcomes, yet the market-implied 59.5% probability for 6°C or higher reflects skepticism over sustained cooling following late-March’s exceptional heatwave—highs topped 26°C on March 22 amid southerly flow. Early-April climatological normals hover at 7°C maximum, with spring transition amplifying forecast uncertainty as global models like ECMWF diverge on post-frontal warming potential. Watch for overnight model updates and morning observations from Toronto Pearson, which could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
6°C or higher 61%
5°C 17%
4°C 16%
3°C 5%
-4°C or below
<1%
-3°C
<1%
-2°C
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
5%
4°C
16%
5°C
17%
6°C or higher
61%
6°C or higher 61%
5°C 17%
4°C 16%
3°C 5%
-4°C or below
<1%
-3°C
<1%
-2°C
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
5%
4°C
16%
5°C
17%
6°C or higher
61%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada’s latest short-range forecast for Toronto on April 2 projects a daytime high near 4°C amid persistent cloud cover and 60% chance of showers, aligning with elevated trader allocations to 4°C (17.5%) and 5°C (17.5%) outcomes, yet the market-implied 59.5% probability for 6°C or higher reflects skepticism over sustained cooling following late-March’s exceptional heatwave—highs topped 26°C on March 22 amid southerly flow. Early-April climatological normals hover at 7°C maximum, with spring transition amplifying forecast uncertainty as global models like ECMWF diverge on post-frontal warming potential. Watch for overnight model updates and morning observations from Toronto Pearson, which could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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