Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 13–15°C maximum temperatures for April 5 in Istanbul, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project highs in the low-to-mid teens amid persistent northerly winds channeling cool Black Sea air. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show diurnal peaks around 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, but model divergence arises from uncertain cloud evolution and boundary-layer mixing, potentially capping peaks at 13°C with thicker overcast or boosting to 15°C via clearer breaks. Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this range, though short-range uncertainty persists; watch 00Z model updates and April 3–4 soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 5?
15°C 29%
13°C 24%
14°C 21%
11°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
10°C or below
2%
11°C
18%
12°C
16%
13°C
24%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
11%
17°C
10%
18°C
7%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 29%
13°C 24%
14°C 21%
11°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
10°C or below
$15 交易量
2%
11°C
$12 交易量
18%
12°C
$22 交易量
16%
13°C
$30 交易量
24%
14°C
$5 交易量
21%
15°C
$16 交易量
21%
16°C
$5 交易量
11%
17°C
$7 交易量
10%
18°C
$5 交易量
7%
19°C
$8 交易量
6%
20°C or higher
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 13–15°C maximum temperatures for April 5 in Istanbul, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project highs in the low-to-mid teens amid persistent northerly winds channeling cool Black Sea air. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show diurnal peaks around 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, but model divergence arises from uncertain cloud evolution and boundary-layer mixing, potentially capping peaks at 13°C with thicker overcast or boosting to 15°C via clearer breaks. Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this range, though short-range uncertainty persists; watch 00Z model updates and April 3–4 soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$134結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 13–15°C maximum temperatures for April 5 in Istanbul, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project highs in the low-to-mid teens amid persistent northerly winds channeling cool Black Sea air. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show diurnal peaks around 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, but model divergence arises from uncertain cloud evolution and boundary-layer mixing, potentially capping peaks at 13°C with thicker overcast or boosting to 15°C via clearer breaks. Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this range, though short-range uncertainty persists; watch 00Z model updates and April 3–4 soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$134結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 13–15°C maximum temperatures for April 5 in Istanbul, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project highs in the low-to-mid teens amid persistent northerly winds channeling cool Black Sea air. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show diurnal peaks around 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies, but model divergence arises from uncertain cloud evolution and boundary-layer mixing, potentially capping peaks at 13°C with thicker overcast or boosting to 15°C via clearer breaks. Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this range, though short-range uncertainty persists; watch 00Z model updates and April 3–4 soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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