Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 80-85°F for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) forecasting a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast, ushering in above-normal warmth amid a La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition that favors hotter spring conditions in Georgia. The 82-83°F lead (28.5% implied probability) stems from blended model peaks near 82°F, but close contention with 80-81°F and 84-85°F arises from ensemble spreads tied to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloudiness from residual moisture, and exact timing of peak heating—factors that could swing the max by 2-3°F. Climatological April 1 average is 70°F (record 85°F), underscoring the anomalous warmth; watch NWS 12z updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 1?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 1?
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 12%
74-75°F 10%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
7%
90°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 12%
74-75°F 10%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
7%
90°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 80-85°F for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) forecasting a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast, ushering in above-normal warmth amid a La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition that favors hotter spring conditions in Georgia. The 82-83°F lead (28.5% implied probability) stems from blended model peaks near 82°F, but close contention with 80-81°F and 84-85°F arises from ensemble spreads tied to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloudiness from residual moisture, and exact timing of peak heating—factors that could swing the max by 2-3°F. Climatological April 1 average is 70°F (record 85°F), underscoring the anomalous warmth; watch NWS 12z updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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