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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

25°C 24%

28°C or higher 21%

27°C 20%

22°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

25°C 24%

28°C or higher 21%

27°C 20%

22°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

18°C or below

$140 交易量

2%

19°C

$163 交易量

3%

20°C

$163 交易量

3%

21°C

$0 交易量

10%

22°C

$0 交易量

16%

23°C

$0 交易量

16%

24°C

$31 交易量

16%

25°C

$0 交易量

24%

26°C

$120 交易量

11%

27°C

$0 交易量

20%

28°C or higher

$2 交易量

21%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, sunny intervals in the afternoon, and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong that allows brighter midweek conditions. This aligns with trader sentiment pricing 28°C or higher at 40% implied probability, driven by spring 2026's above-normal temperature outlook—March already hit 30°C on the 25th and recent days averaged 26-28°C—plus potential urban heat effects and low rainfall probability enabling highs above the 23-27°C range. Lower outcomes like 25°C (24%) reflect forecast means amid inherent model uncertainty; watch HKO's April 1 monthly forecast update for refinements. Historical early April highs average 25°C, but climatological warming trends support upside risk.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, sunny intervals in the afternoon, and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong that allows brighter midweek conditions. This aligns with trader sentiment pricing 28°C or higher at 40% implied probability, driven by spring 2026's above-normal temperature outlook—March already hit 30°C on the 25th and recent days averaged 26-28°C—plus potential urban heat effects and low rainfall probability enabling highs above the 23-27°C range. Lower outcomes like 25°C (24%) reflect forecast means amid inherent model uncertainty; watch HKO's April 1 monthly forecast update for refinements. Historical early April highs average 25°C, but climatological warming trends support upside risk.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, sunny intervals in the afternoon, and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong that allows brighter midweek conditions. This aligns with trader sentiment pricing 28°C or higher at 40% implied probability, driven by spring 2026's above-normal temperature outlook—March already hit 30°C on the 25th and recent days averaged 26-28°C—plus potential urban heat effects and low rainfall probability enabling highs above the 23-27°C range. Lower outcomes like 25°C (24%) reflect forecast means amid inherent model uncertainty; watch HKO's April 1 monthly forecast update for refinements. Historical early April highs average 25°C, but climatological warming trends support upside risk.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, sunny intervals in the afternoon, and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong that allows brighter midweek conditions. This aligns with trader sentiment pricing 28°C or higher at 40% implied probability, driven by spring 2026's above-normal temperature outlook—March already hit 30°C on the 25th and recent days averaged 26-28°C—plus potential urban heat effects and low rainfall probability enabling highs above the 23-27°C range. Lower outcomes like 25°C (24%) reflect forecast means amid inherent model uncertainty; watch HKO's April 1 monthly forecast update for refinements. Historical early April highs average 25°C, but climatological warming trends support upside risk.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 24%, followed by "28°C or higher" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" is "25°C" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C or higher" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.