Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 2, driven by an approaching frontal system forecast by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which could usher in cloud cover, showers, and cooler air masses just before the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend. Short-range CWA models show near-term highs climbing to 28–29°C amid weakening cold air, but longer-range guidance diverges, with some ensembles (e.g., timeanddate.com analogs) projecting 24–27°C clears while others warn of dips to 19°C or below under frontal influence. Early April climatology averages 24°C highs, tempered by neutral ENSO conditions favoring variable spring patterns; key differentiators include frontal track precision and diurnal heating potential, with daily CWA updates likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
19°C or below 41%
24°C 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
19°C or below
41%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C
15%
23°C
9%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
16%
29°C or higher
41%
19°C or below 41%
24°C 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
19°C or below
$0 交易量
41%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$0 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
15%
23°C
$10 交易量
9%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$0 交易量
23%
27°C
$0 交易量
21%
28°C
$0 交易量
16%
29°C or higher
$15 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 2, driven by an approaching frontal system forecast by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which could usher in cloud cover, showers, and cooler air masses just before the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend. Short-range CWA models show near-term highs climbing to 28–29°C amid weakening cold air, but longer-range guidance diverges, with some ensembles (e.g., timeanddate.com analogs) projecting 24–27°C clears while others warn of dips to 19°C or below under frontal influence. Early April climatology averages 24°C highs, tempered by neutral ENSO conditions favoring variable spring patterns; key differentiators include frontal track precision and diurnal heating potential, with daily CWA updates likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
Apr 2, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 2, driven by an approaching frontal system forecast by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which could usher in cloud cover, showers, and cooler air masses just before the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend. Short-range CWA models show near-term highs climbing to 28–29°C amid weakening cold air, but longer-range guidance diverges, with some ensembles (e.g., timeanddate.com analogs) projecting 24–27°C clears while others warn of dips to 19°C or below under frontal influence. Early April climatology averages 24°C highs, tempered by neutral ENSO conditions favoring variable spring patterns; key differentiators include frontal track precision and diurnal heating potential, with daily CWA updates likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25結束日期
Apr 2, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 2, driven by an approaching frontal system forecast by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which could usher in cloud cover, showers, and cooler air masses just before the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend. Short-range CWA models show near-term highs climbing to 28–29°C amid weakening cold air, but longer-range guidance diverges, with some ensembles (e.g., timeanddate.com analogs) projecting 24–27°C clears while others warn of dips to 19°C or below under frontal influence. Early April climatology averages 24°C highs, tempered by neutral ENSO conditions favoring variable spring patterns; key differentiators include frontal track precision and diurnal heating potential, with daily CWA updates likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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