Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs clustering around 56-59°F on April 5 amid a spread driven by variable marine layer persistence. Recent developments include a mild post-winter pattern following March's record warmth across the West, featuring a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest that could enhance downslope warming and mixing, potentially pushing temperatures into the 58-59°F bin if low stratus clears early. However, onshore flow risks trapping cool, moist Puget Sound air, favoring 55°F or below. April climatology averages 57°F highs, underscoring the tight race; watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs and NWS updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 25%
55°F or below 24%
58-59°F 18%
55°F or below
25%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
10%
74°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 25%
55°F or below 24%
58-59°F 18%
55°F or below
25%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
10%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs clustering around 56-59°F on April 5 amid a spread driven by variable marine layer persistence. Recent developments include a mild post-winter pattern following March's record warmth across the West, featuring a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest that could enhance downslope warming and mixing, potentially pushing temperatures into the 58-59°F bin if low stratus clears early. However, onshore flow risks trapping cool, moist Puget Sound air, favoring 55°F or below. April climatology averages 57°F highs, underscoring the tight race; watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs and NWS updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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