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4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？

Market icon

4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

56-57°F 39%

54-55°F 27%

58-59°F 23%

52-53°F 10%

Polymarket
NEW

56-57°F 39%

54-55°F 27%

58-59°F 23%

52-53°F 10%

Polymarket
NEW

45°F或以下

$487 交易量

1%

46-47°F

$49 交易量

5%

48-49°F

$59 交易量

4%

50-51°F

$161 交易量

6%

52-53°F

$64 交易量

10%

54-55°F

$107 交易量

27%

56-57°F

$263 交易量

39%

58-59°F

$68 交易量

23%

60-61°F

$51 交易量

8%

62-63°F

$49 交易量

7%

華氏64度或以上

$70 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 39% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing persistent westerly flow aloft ushering cool, moist marine air over western Washington. This setup maintains mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances on April 3, capping diurnal heating near seasonal early-April norms of about 57°F amid a marine layer. Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks (issued mid-March 2026) tilt toward 40-50% odds of above-normal spring temperatures due to emerging ridging patterns, supporting nearby 58-59°F (23%) as a contender, while cooler 54-55°F (25.5%) reflects short-term model cool biases. New 12z model updates expected today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 39% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing persistent westerly flow aloft ushering cool, moist marine air over western Washington. This setup maintains mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances on April 3, capping diurnal heating near seasonal early-April norms of about 57°F amid a marine layer. Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks (issued mid-March 2026) tilt toward 40-50% odds of above-normal spring temperatures due to emerging ridging patterns, supporting nearby 58-59°F (23%) as a contender, while cooler 54-55°F (25.5%) reflects short-term model cool biases. New 12z model updates expected today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 39% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing persistent westerly flow aloft ushering cool, moist marine air over western Washington. This setup maintains mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances on April 3, capping diurnal heating near seasonal early-April norms of about 57°F amid a marine layer. Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks (issued mid-March 2026) tilt toward 40-50% odds of above-normal spring temperatures due to emerging ridging patterns, supporting nearby 58-59°F (23%) as a contender, while cooler 54-55°F (25.5%) reflects short-term model cool biases. New 12z model updates expected today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 39% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing persistent westerly flow aloft ushering cool, moist marine air over western Washington. This setup maintains mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances on April 3, capping diurnal heating near seasonal early-April norms of about 57°F amid a marine layer. Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks (issued mid-March 2026) tilt toward 40-50% odds of above-normal spring temperatures due to emerging ridging patterns, supporting nearby 58-59°F (23%) as a contender, while cooler 54-55°F (25.5%) reflects short-term model cool biases. New 12z model updates expected today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "56-57°F" at 39%, followed by "54-55°F" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？" is "56-57°F" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "54-55°F" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月3日西雅圖的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.