MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central, pegging today's high at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers turning widespread in the afternoon, anchors the 89.5% market-implied probability on this outcome, reflecting strong trader alignment with official guidance from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station. Yesterday's observed high of 17.9°C amid northerly winds and light rain (0.6 mm) signals a modest rebound, consistent with NIWA's above-average March temperature outlook driven by warmer-than-normal Tasman Sea surface temperatures amid fading La Niña influences. Afternoon southerlies and persistent cloud cover limit solar insolation, capping upside potential, though brief clearings could nudge toward 21°C (15% odds). Hourly observations will refine intraday trajectories toward resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 30?
20°C 82%
21°C 15%
22°C or higher 1.5%
$34,748 交易量
$34,748 交易量
20°C
82%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
2%
20°C 82%
21°C 15%
22°C or higher 1.5%
$34,748 交易量
$34,748 交易量
20°C
82%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central, pegging today's high at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers turning widespread in the afternoon, anchors the 89.5% market-implied probability on this outcome, reflecting strong trader alignment with official guidance from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station. Yesterday's observed high of 17.9°C amid northerly winds and light rain (0.6 mm) signals a modest rebound, consistent with NIWA's above-average March temperature outlook driven by warmer-than-normal Tasman Sea surface temperatures amid fading La Niña influences. Afternoon southerlies and persistent cloud cover limit solar insolation, capping upside potential, though brief clearings could nudge toward 21°C (15% odds). Hourly observations will refine intraday trajectories toward resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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