Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high in Beijing at 62% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration's World Meteorological Centre Beijing and converging international models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting a daytime peak of 18°C amid overcast skies and southwest winds at 5–10 km/h. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport show 14°C under cloudy conditions, with partial cloud breaks potentially allowing minor warming to 19°C, though persistent overcast limits solar heating after yesterday's 23°C record. Historical March highs average 13°C, but recent warm anomalies elevated expectations before today's moderating front; final resolution awaits official evening station data from the CMA.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on March 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 30?
18°C 67%
19°C 23%
17°C 9%
20°C 6.6%
$17,945 交易量
$17,945 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
67%
19°C
23%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 67%
19°C 23%
17°C 9%
20°C 6.6%
$17,945 交易量
$17,945 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
67%
19°C
23%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high in Beijing at 62% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration's World Meteorological Centre Beijing and converging international models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting a daytime peak of 18°C amid overcast skies and southwest winds at 5–10 km/h. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport show 14°C under cloudy conditions, with partial cloud breaks potentially allowing minor warming to 19°C, though persistent overcast limits solar heating after yesterday's 23°C record. Historical March highs average 13°C, but recent warm anomalies elevated expectations before today's moderating front; final resolution awaits official evening station data from the CMA.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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