Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 19-22°C outcomes at over 20% implied probabilities each. This tight contest reflects inherent spring forecast uncertainty, as early-April historical highs average 18°C amid frequent frontal passages that modulate cloud cover and southerly warm-air advection versus cooler northerly outbreaks. ENSO-neutral conditions add climatological variability without strong teleconnections, while recent mild March patterns (20-22°C highs) support the warmer tilt. Daily model updates through April 1 will clarify ensemble spread on peak solar insolation and exact maxima at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
22°C 23%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 21%
20°C 21%
16°C or below
21%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
23%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
8%
22°C 23%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 21%
20°C 21%
16°C or below
21%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
23%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 19-22°C outcomes at over 20% implied probabilities each. This tight contest reflects inherent spring forecast uncertainty, as early-April historical highs average 18°C amid frequent frontal passages that modulate cloud cover and southerly warm-air advection versus cooler northerly outbreaks. ENSO-neutral conditions add climatological variability without strong teleconnections, while recent mild March patterns (20-22°C highs) support the warmer tilt. Daily model updates through April 1 will clarify ensemble spread on peak solar insolation and exact maxima at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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