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Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

60-61°F 30%

58-59°F 27%

62-63°F 23%

56-57°F 21%

Polymarket
NEW

60-61°F 30%

58-59°F 27%

62-63°F 23%

56-57°F 21%

Polymarket
NEW

49°F or below

$5 交易量

13%

50-51°F

$106 交易量

12%

52-53°F

$5 交易量

14%

54-55°F

$7 交易量

19%

56-57°F

$5 交易量

21%

58-59°F

$10 交易量

27%

60-61°F

$20 交易量

30%

62-63°F

$15 交易量

23%

64-65°F

$5 交易量

17%

66-67°F

$5 交易量

8%

68°F or higher

$25 交易量

18%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 58-63°F—slightly above the early-April climatological normal of 57°F at Sea-Tac Airport—driving trader consensus across those closely matched outcomes at nearly 80% implied probability combined. This positioning stems from NOAA's March spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for western Washington, as fading La Niña transitions to ENSO-neutral conditions allow a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest to promote downslope warming. Key differentiators include variability in Puget Sound marine stratus persistence, which could suppress peaks by 3-5°F if low clouds linger, versus clearer skies enabling diurnal mixing to 62°F+. New 00z and 12z model runs, plus NWS Seattle forecast discussions, will clarify amid inherent 5-day forecast uncertainty.

Latest GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 58-63°F—slightly above the early-April climatological normal of 57°F at Sea-Tac Airport—driving trader consensus across those closely matched outcomes at nearly 80% implied probability combined. This positioning stems from NOAA's March spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for western Washington, as fading La Niña transitions to ENSO-neutral conditions allow a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest to promote downslope warming. Key differentiators include variability in Puget Sound marine stratus persistence, which could suppress peaks by 3-5°F if low clouds linger, versus clearer skies enabling diurnal mixing to 62°F+. New 00z and 12z model runs, plus NWS Seattle forecast discussions, will clarify amid inherent 5-day forecast uncertainty.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 58-63°F—slightly above the early-April climatological normal of 57°F at Sea-Tac Airport—driving trader consensus across those closely matched outcomes at nearly 80% implied probability combined. This positioning stems from NOAA's March spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for western Washington, as fading La Niña transitions to ENSO-neutral conditions allow a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest to promote downslope warming. Key differentiators include variability in Puget Sound marine stratus persistence, which could suppress peaks by 3-5°F if low clouds linger, versus clearer skies enabling diurnal mixing to 62°F+. New 00z and 12z model runs, plus NWS Seattle forecast discussions, will clarify amid inherent 5-day forecast uncertainty.

Latest GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 58-63°F—slightly above the early-April climatological normal of 57°F at Sea-Tac Airport—driving trader consensus across those closely matched outcomes at nearly 80% implied probability combined. This positioning stems from NOAA's March spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for western Washington, as fading La Niña transitions to ENSO-neutral conditions allow a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest to promote downslope warming. Key differentiators include variability in Puget Sound marine stratus persistence, which could suppress peaks by 3-5°F if low clouds linger, versus clearer skies enabling diurnal mixing to 62°F+. New 00z and 12z model runs, plus NWS Seattle forecast discussions, will clarify amid inherent 5-day forecast uncertainty.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60-61°F" at 30%, followed by "58-59°F" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?" is "60-61°F" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "58-59°F" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.