Latest National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Chicago's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 48-51°F at O'Hare International Airport, below the 54.8°F climatological normal, due to a persistent cool upper trough and northerly winds suppressing warm air advection. This drives closely matched trader consensus, with 50-51°F (27%) edging 48-49°F (24.5%), as minor model divergences on cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating create 2-3°F spreads differentiating bins. Inherent 4-day forecast uncertainty persists; monitor 12Z model runs on April 2 for updates ahead of official observations resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
50-51°F 27%
48-49°F 24%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 18%
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
8%
40-41°F
9%
42-43°F
11%
44-45°F
16%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
24%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
16%
56°F or higher
12%
50-51°F 27%
48-49°F 24%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 18%
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
8%
40-41°F
9%
42-43°F
11%
44-45°F
16%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
24%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
16%
56°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Chicago's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 48-51°F at O'Hare International Airport, below the 54.8°F climatological normal, due to a persistent cool upper trough and northerly winds suppressing warm air advection. This drives closely matched trader consensus, with 50-51°F (27%) edging 48-49°F (24.5%), as minor model divergences on cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating create 2-3°F spreads differentiating bins. Inherent 4-day forecast uncertainty persists; monitor 12Z model runs on April 2 for updates ahead of official observations resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions