Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster of outcomes around 62-67°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting National Weather Service forecast model consensus showing highs in the low to mid-60s amid anticipated high-pressure ridging over the Midwest, which would advect warm air masses northward above the 54.4°F climatological normal. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring 2026 outlook supports above-normal temperatures for the region under transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions, with recent warm late-March readings—such as 70s°F on March 31—suggesting pattern persistence. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and potential weak frontal timing, which could shave 3-5°F off peaks; daily NWS updates through April 3 will refine guidance as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 4?
64-65°F 23%
62-63°F 20%
66-67°F 17%
60-61°F 16%
57°F or below
16%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 23%
62-63°F 20%
66-67°F 17%
60-61°F 16%
57°F or below
16%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster of outcomes around 62-67°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting National Weather Service forecast model consensus showing highs in the low to mid-60s amid anticipated high-pressure ridging over the Midwest, which would advect warm air masses northward above the 54.4°F climatological normal. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring 2026 outlook supports above-normal temperatures for the region under transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions, with recent warm late-March readings—such as 70s°F on March 31—suggesting pattern persistence. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and potential weak frontal timing, which could shave 3-5°F off peaks; daily NWS updates through April 3 will refine guidance as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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