Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble models forecast a high of 15-17°C in Seoul on April 5 at Incheon International Airport station—the market's official measurement site—following morning clearing after April 4 rainfall, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 25% precipitation odds moderating peak heating. Trader consensus fragments across 12-16°C outcomes at 16-21% implied probabilities, reflecting springtime uncertainty from variable cold air advection, cloud persistence post-front, and the airport's urban heat island offset yielding 1-2°C cooler readings than city-center estimates. Historical early-April highs average 13°C, amplifying caution; watch KMA's 11 AM and 5 PM KST updates for refined model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
12°C 23%
16°C or higher 20%
13°C 20%
14°C 15%
$14,028 交易量
$14,028 交易量
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
7%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
20%
12°C 23%
16°C or higher 20%
13°C 20%
14°C 15%
$14,028 交易量
$14,028 交易量
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
7%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble models forecast a high of 15-17°C in Seoul on April 5 at Incheon International Airport station—the market's official measurement site—following morning clearing after April 4 rainfall, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 25% precipitation odds moderating peak heating. Trader consensus fragments across 12-16°C outcomes at 16-21% implied probabilities, reflecting springtime uncertainty from variable cold air advection, cloud persistence post-front, and the airport's urban heat island offset yielding 1-2°C cooler readings than city-center estimates. Historical early-April highs average 13°C, amplifying caution; watch KMA's 11 AM and 5 PM KST updates for refined model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions