The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 20–25°C for Taipei on April 6 amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, reflecting persistent springtime instability from lingering cold fronts and southerly moisture influxes following recent rain systems over the Qingming holiday period. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 20°C or below to 30°C or higher, captures ensemble model divergences—GFS and ECMWF runs showing sensitivity to subtropical ridge positioning and cloud cover, which could suppress highs below 23°C under overcast skies or allow spikes above 28°C with clearing and downslope winds. Watch for daily CWA updates and new model outputs through April 5, as proximity to resolution amplifies volatility in this urban heat-influenced locale where historical April peaks average 24–26°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
30°C or higher 16%
24°C 12%
26°C 12%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
16%
30°C or higher 16%
24°C 12%
26°C 12%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 20–25°C for Taipei on April 6 amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, reflecting persistent springtime instability from lingering cold fronts and southerly moisture influxes following recent rain systems over the Qingming holiday period. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 20°C or below to 30°C or higher, captures ensemble model divergences—GFS and ECMWF runs showing sensitivity to subtropical ridge positioning and cloud cover, which could suppress highs below 23°C under overcast skies or allow spikes above 28°C with clearing and downslope winds. Watch for daily CWA updates and new model outputs through April 5, as proximity to resolution amplifies volatility in this urban heat-influenced locale where historical April peaks average 24–26°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions