Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means imply NYC highs of 53-56°F on April 6, driving the tight trader consensus between 52-55°F outcomes amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cool mid-level air over the Northeast. Recent 00Z model runs depict lingering post-frontal cloudiness and light onshore flow capping diurnal heating, keeping peaks below early April climatological norms of 55-57°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing depth and morning cloud clearance timing, with 2-4°F spreads across ensemble members reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. New 12Z runs expected within hours could sharpen odds before resolution via official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
54-55°F 20%
52-53°F 20%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
47°F or below
6%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
4%
66°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 20%
52-53°F 20%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
47°F or below
$285 交易量
6%
48-49°F
$192 交易量
2%
50-51°F
$414 交易量
12%
52-53°F
$354 交易量
20%
54-55°F
$276 交易量
20%
56-57°F
$477 交易量
18%
58-59°F
$167 交易量
13%
60-61°F
$267 交易量
5%
62-63°F
$306 交易量
8%
64-65°F
$210 交易量
4%
66°F or higher
$771 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means imply NYC highs of 53-56°F on April 6, driving the tight trader consensus between 52-55°F outcomes amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cool mid-level air over the Northeast. Recent 00Z model runs depict lingering post-frontal cloudiness and light onshore flow capping diurnal heating, keeping peaks below early April climatological norms of 55-57°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing depth and morning cloud clearance timing, with 2-4°F spreads across ensemble members reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. New 12Z runs expected within hours could sharpen odds before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,720結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means imply NYC highs of 53-56°F on April 6, driving the tight trader consensus between 52-55°F outcomes amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cool mid-level air over the Northeast. Recent 00Z model runs depict lingering post-frontal cloudiness and light onshore flow capping diurnal heating, keeping peaks below early April climatological norms of 55-57°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing depth and morning cloud clearance timing, with 2-4°F spreads across ensemble members reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. New 12Z runs expected within hours could sharpen odds before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,720結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means imply NYC highs of 53-56°F on April 6, driving the tight trader consensus between 52-55°F outcomes amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cool mid-level air over the Northeast. Recent 00Z model runs depict lingering post-frontal cloudiness and light onshore flow capping diurnal heating, keeping peaks below early April climatological norms of 55-57°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing depth and morning cloud clearance timing, with 2-4°F spreads across ensemble members reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. New 12Z runs expected within hours could sharpen odds before resolution via official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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