Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 45.5% implied probability on 4°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest forecasts from regional models like yr.no (Met Norway), predicting a daytime maximum of 4°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain (1 mm), and strong winds up to 9 m/s from the south. Recent observations show highs of 3–4°C over the past days following Finland's record-warm March, with a low-pressure system suppressing solar heating despite mild southerly flow. Finnish Meteorological Institute updates confirm similar cool, overcast conditions today at around 5°C. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS), with potential 3–6°C range; monitor hourly FMI data and overnight forecast revisions for shifts before resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 6?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 6?
4°C 43%
5°C 23%
6°C 12%
7°C 9%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
8%
3°C
4%
4°C
43%
5°C
23%
6°C
12%
7°C
9%
8°C
6%
9°C
3%
10°C or higher
2%
4°C 43%
5°C 23%
6°C 12%
7°C 9%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
8%
3°C
4%
4°C
43%
5°C
23%
6°C
12%
7°C
9%
8°C
6%
9°C
3%
10°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 45.5% implied probability on 4°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest forecasts from regional models like yr.no (Met Norway), predicting a daytime maximum of 4°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain (1 mm), and strong winds up to 9 m/s from the south. Recent observations show highs of 3–4°C over the past days following Finland's record-warm March, with a low-pressure system suppressing solar heating despite mild southerly flow. Finnish Meteorological Institute updates confirm similar cool, overcast conditions today at around 5°C. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS), with potential 3–6°C range; monitor hourly FMI data and overnight forecast revisions for shifts before resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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