Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 9?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 9?
-2°C or below 23%
8°C or higher 23%
4°C 21%
5°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-09
-2°C or below
23%
-1°C
18%
0°C
18%
1°C
18%
2°C
18%
3°C
18%
4°C
21%
5°C
19%
6°C
19%
7°C
19%
8°C or higher
23%
-2°C or below 23%
8°C or higher 23%
4°C 21%
5°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-09
-2°C or below
$15 交易量
23%
-1°C
$0 交易量
18%
0°C
$0 交易量
18%
1°C
$0 交易量
18%
2°C
$0 交易量
18%
3°C
$0 交易量
18%
4°C
$0 交易量
21%
5°C
$0 交易量
19%
6°C
$0 交易量
19%
7°C
$0 交易量
19%
8°C or higher
$0 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-04-09市場開放時間
Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-04-09市場開放時間
Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions