Environment and Climate Change Canada's forecast issued April 1 projects a daytime high near 7°C in Toronto on April 5 amid persistent cloud cover and a 40% chance of showers, influenced by an upper-level low over the Great Lakes maintaining cool easterly winds following recent showers and highs around 3°C on April 1-2. Yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for 12°C or higher, with significant volume on 9-11°C outcomes totaling over 65%, reflecting ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models that show potential southerly flow and partial clearing boosting temperatures toward seasonal norms of 10°C for early April at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Daily forecast updates from official agencies will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 37%
11°C 18%
9°C 13%
10°C 13%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
2%
4°C
2%
5°C
2%
6°C
5%
7°C
9%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
18%
12°C or higher
37%
12°C or higher 37%
11°C 18%
9°C 13%
10°C 13%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
2%
4°C
2%
5°C
2%
6°C
5%
7°C
9%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
18%
12°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment and Climate Change Canada's forecast issued April 1 projects a daytime high near 7°C in Toronto on April 5 amid persistent cloud cover and a 40% chance of showers, influenced by an upper-level low over the Great Lakes maintaining cool easterly winds following recent showers and highs around 3°C on April 1-2. Yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for 12°C or higher, with significant volume on 9-11°C outcomes totaling over 65%, reflecting ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models that show potential southerly flow and partial clearing boosting temperatures toward seasonal norms of 10°C for early April at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Daily forecast updates from official agencies will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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