Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 9, with implied probabilities evenly spread across 45°F or below up to 64°F or higher, driven by divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting highs from the mid-50s to low-60s. Recent NOAA spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures amid a warmer, drier trend in early April, but persistent Puget Sound marine layer and variable onshore flow could cap peaks in the 50s, while strengthening upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest might push toward 62-63°F. Key differentiators include cloud cover from stratus decks and jet stream positioning; watch daily National Weather Service updates and new model runs through April 8 for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on April 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 9?
62-63°F 33%
64°F or higher 32%
60-61°F 26%
58-59°F 18%
45°F or below
3%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
28%
64°F or higher
32%
62-63°F 33%
64°F or higher 32%
60-61°F 26%
58-59°F 18%
45°F or below
3%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
28%
64°F or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 9, with implied probabilities evenly spread across 45°F or below up to 64°F or higher, driven by divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting highs from the mid-50s to low-60s. Recent NOAA spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures amid a warmer, drier trend in early April, but persistent Puget Sound marine layer and variable onshore flow could cap peaks in the 50s, while strengthening upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest might push toward 62-63°F. Key differentiators include cloud cover from stratus decks and jet stream positioning; watch daily National Weather Service updates and new model runs through April 8 for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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