Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's resolution source, record a maximum temperature of 3°C for April 9, 2026, under the "Temp" column in whole degrees Celsius, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent cold air mass advected by a northern high-pressure ridge, which suppressed convective heating amid overcast skies, light precipitation including sleet, and northeasterly winds—conditions diverging sharply from Moscow's typical April highs near 10–11°C. With the day concluding and current readings at 0°C under mainly cloudy conditions, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-hour spike or post-finalization data revision exceeding 3°C, both improbable given the synoptic setup and model consensus from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center. Finalized data expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 9?
3°C 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$67,021 交易量
$67,021 交易量
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
Yes
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
No
3°C 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$67,021 交易量
$67,021 交易量
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
Yes
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's resolution source, record a maximum temperature of 3°C for April 9, 2026, under the "Temp" column in whole degrees Celsius, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent cold air mass advected by a northern high-pressure ridge, which suppressed convective heating amid overcast skies, light precipitation including sleet, and northeasterly winds—conditions diverging sharply from Moscow's typical April highs near 10–11°C. With the day concluding and current readings at 0°C under mainly cloudy conditions, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-hour spike or post-finalization data revision exceeding 3°C, both improbable given the synoptic setup and model consensus from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center. Finalized data expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions