Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C as Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting real-time observations and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather. Peak readings reached approximately 27°C (80°F) this afternoon under persistent hazy skies and light southerly breezes, which limited solar heating and prevented surpassing this threshold despite mild spring conditions. April climatology supports highs around 20–25°C on average, with today's warmth driven by high-pressure ridging, but atmospheric particulates capped intensification. Realistic challenges would require sudden haze clearance for late-day solar surge or upward observation revisions, both improbable as evening cools rapidly; final CMA data expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$129,830 交易量
$129,830 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$129,830 交易量
$129,830 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C as Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting real-time observations and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather. Peak readings reached approximately 27°C (80°F) this afternoon under persistent hazy skies and light southerly breezes, which limited solar heating and prevented surpassing this threshold despite mild spring conditions. April climatology supports highs around 20–25°C on average, with today's warmth driven by high-pressure ridging, but atmospheric particulates capped intensification. Realistic challenges would require sudden haze clearance for late-day solar surge or upward observation revisions, both improbable as evening cools rapidly; final CMA data expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions