AEMET's latest forecast models, including HARMONIE and ECMWF ensembles, project a maximum temperature of 28°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and mostly sunny skies—directly aligning with traders' 99.9% implied probability consensus backed by real capital. Current observations from nearby stations reached 25.5°C by late afternoon, tracking hourly projections of 26°C during peak heating (12–18h), well above April's climatological average of 18°C amid a warm spell influenced by southerly advection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective clouds or instability capping peaks at 27°C, or prolonged clear skies pushing to 29°C, with final official measurements resolving by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$114,954 交易量
$114,954 交易量
2026-04-18
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$114,954 交易量
$114,954 交易量
2026-04-18
28°C
$20,566 交易量
100%
29°C
$12,463 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,310 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,513 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,618 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast models, including HARMONIE and ECMWF ensembles, project a maximum temperature of 28°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and mostly sunny skies—directly aligning with traders' 99.9% implied probability consensus backed by real capital. Current observations from nearby stations reached 25.5°C by late afternoon, tracking hourly projections of 26°C during peak heating (12–18h), well above April's climatological average of 18°C amid a warm spell influenced by southerly advection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective clouds or instability capping peaks at 27°C, or prolonged clear skies pushing to 29°C, with final official measurements resolving by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
交易量
$114,954結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast models, including HARMONIE and ECMWF ensembles, project a maximum temperature of 28°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and mostly sunny skies—directly aligning with traders' 99.9% implied probability consensus backed by real capital. Current observations from nearby stations reached 25.5°C by late afternoon, tracking hourly projections of 26°C during peak heating (12–18h), well above April's climatological average of 18°C amid a warm spell influenced by southerly advection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective clouds or instability capping peaks at 27°C, or prolonged clear skies pushing to 29°C, with final official measurements resolving by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$114,954結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETAEMET's latest forecast models, including HARMONIE and ECMWF ensembles, project a maximum temperature of 28°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds, and mostly sunny skies—directly aligning with traders' 99.9% implied probability consensus backed by real capital. Current observations from nearby stations reached 25.5°C by late afternoon, tracking hourly projections of 26°C during peak heating (12–18h), well above April's climatological average of 18°C amid a warm spell influenced by southerly advection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective clouds or instability capping peaks at 27°C, or prolonged clear skies pushing to 29°C, with final official measurements resolving by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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