National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU) already show temperatures reaching 79°F this afternoon under partly cloudy skies and east-southeast winds of 8-15 mph, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for a high of 76°F or higher on April 9, 2026. Forecast models from NOAA project a daytime maximum near 80°F, consistent with seasonal norms around 78°F and a persistent warm, dry pattern following a drought-affected winter. Trader consensus aligns with this observational data and model agreement, as peak heating continues into late afternoon. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm activity or marine-layer clouds to suppress further warming, though current guidance shows only a slight 20% chance of isolated showers. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from KHOU.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 9?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 9?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$39,755 交易量
$39,755 交易量
2026-04-09
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$39,755 交易量
$39,755 交易量
2026-04-09
57°F or below
$2,564 交易量
No
58-59°F
$7,409 交易量
No
60-61°F
$4,602 交易量
No
62-63°F
$3,824 交易量
No
64-65°F
$882 交易量
No
66-67°F
$1,271 交易量
No
68-69°F
$4,564 交易量
No
70-71°F
$3,342 交易量
No
72-73°F
$1,889 交易量
No
74-75°F
$4,360 交易量
No
76°F or higher
$5,048 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU) already show temperatures reaching 79°F this afternoon under partly cloudy skies and east-southeast winds of 8-15 mph, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for a high of 76°F or higher on April 9, 2026. Forecast models from NOAA project a daytime maximum near 80°F, consistent with seasonal norms around 78°F and a persistent warm, dry pattern following a drought-affected winter. Trader consensus aligns with this observational data and model agreement, as peak heating continues into late afternoon. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm activity or marine-layer clouds to suppress further warming, though current guidance shows only a slight 20% chance of isolated showers. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from KHOU.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$39,755結束日期
2026-04-09市場開放時間
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU) already show temperatures reaching 79°F this afternoon under partly cloudy skies and east-southeast winds of 8-15 mph, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for a high of 76°F or higher on April 9, 2026. Forecast models from NOAA project a daytime maximum near 80°F, consistent with seasonal norms around 78°F and a persistent warm, dry pattern following a drought-affected winter. Trader consensus aligns with this observational data and model agreement, as peak heating continues into late afternoon. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm activity or marine-layer clouds to suppress further warming, though current guidance shows only a slight 20% chance of isolated showers. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from KHOU.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,755結束日期
2026-04-09市場開放時間
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU) already show temperatures reaching 79°F this afternoon under partly cloudy skies and east-southeast winds of 8-15 mph, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for a high of 76°F or higher on April 9, 2026. Forecast models from NOAA project a daytime maximum near 80°F, consistent with seasonal norms around 78°F and a persistent warm, dry pattern following a drought-affected winter. Trader consensus aligns with this observational data and model agreement, as peak heating continues into late afternoon. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm activity or marine-layer clouds to suppress further warming, though current guidance shows only a slight 20% chance of isolated showers. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from KHOU.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions