Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 14–16°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting peaks near 14°C amid a persistent northwest airflow delivering cool, moist Atlantic air. Overcast skies and scattered showers, as forecast for the weekend, suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation, while gusty winds around 20–40 km/h enhance mixing but cap highs below seasonal norms of 15–16°C. Differentiation stems from model spread: fuller cloud cover favors 13–14°C, potential afternoon breaks could yield 15–16°C, with negligible odds for extremes due to stable synoptic patterns lacking heat advection. New 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow will refine this short-range uncertainty as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月5日巴黎最高溫度?
4月5日巴黎最高溫度?
14°C 27%
16°C 22%
15°C 22%
13°C 14%
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
13%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
1%
14°C 27%
16°C 22%
15°C 22%
13°C 14%
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
13%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 14–16°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting peaks near 14°C amid a persistent northwest airflow delivering cool, moist Atlantic air. Overcast skies and scattered showers, as forecast for the weekend, suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation, while gusty winds around 20–40 km/h enhance mixing but cap highs below seasonal norms of 15–16°C. Differentiation stems from model spread: fuller cloud cover favors 13–14°C, potential afternoon breaks could yield 15–16°C, with negligible odds for extremes due to stable synoptic patterns lacking heat advection. New 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow will refine this short-range uncertainty as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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