Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high forecast uncertainty for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 5, with probabilities tightly clustered at 25–27% across outcomes from 28°C or below to 38°C or higher, driven by BMKG's prediction of above-normal rainfall (115–150% of 30-year average) during the first dasarian of April in DKI Jakarta. Recent BMKG warnings for moderate-to-heavy showers and thunder in the Jabodetabek region could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and convective cooling, while urban heat island effects, high humidity, and potential sea breeze lulls favor upper-30s°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral conditions align with climatological April highs near 32°C; daily BMKG updates and global model ensembles like GFS/ECMWF will clarify convective activity ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 5?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 5?
30°C 27%
31°C 26%
29°C 26%
32°C 26%
28°C or below
15%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C or higher
14%
30°C 27%
31°C 26%
29°C 26%
32°C 26%
28°C or below
15%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high forecast uncertainty for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 5, with probabilities tightly clustered at 25–27% across outcomes from 28°C or below to 38°C or higher, driven by BMKG's prediction of above-normal rainfall (115–150% of 30-year average) during the first dasarian of April in DKI Jakarta. Recent BMKG warnings for moderate-to-heavy showers and thunder in the Jabodetabek region could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and convective cooling, while urban heat island effects, high humidity, and potential sea breeze lulls favor upper-30s°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral conditions align with climatological April highs near 32°C; daily BMKG updates and global model ensembles like GFS/ECMWF will clarify convective activity ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions