Official observations from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 15°C on April 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. KNMI real-time measurements corroborated this peak amid partly sunny skies, southwest winds gusting to code yellow levels, and highs aligning with forecasts predicting 14–15°C under mild spring conditions slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C. Model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF had anticipated limited warming potential due to cloud cover and breeze. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, though final KNMI daily summaries expected soon reinforce the positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 4?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$23,949 交易量
$23,949 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$23,949 交易量
$23,949 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 15°C on April 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. KNMI real-time measurements corroborated this peak amid partly sunny skies, southwest winds gusting to code yellow levels, and highs aligning with forecasts predicting 14–15°C under mild spring conditions slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C. Model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF had anticipated limited warming potential due to cloud cover and breeze. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, though final KNMI daily summaries expected soon reinforce the positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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