Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 4, projects a Toronto high of 5°C on April 8 under a mix of sun and cloud, following heavy rainfall over the April 4-5 weekend and persistent cold northerly flow with overnight lows near -6°C. This drives trader consensus, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 15-18% for 5-8°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble model spread from sources like GFS and ECMWF where partial clearing could boost diurnal heating to 8°C, while thicker clouds or lake-effect moderation cap it nearer 5°C. Lake Ontario's cool waters suppress extremes, amid below-normal April patterns from a lingering upper trough; updated EC guidance daily through April 7 may refine the outlook as inherent short-range forecast uncertainty narrows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 8?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 8?
8°C 19%
7°C 18%
5°C 14%
6°C 13%
2°C or below
9%
3°C
4%
4°C
12%
5°C
14%
6°C
13%
7°C
18%
8°C
19%
9°C
11%
10°C
5%
11°C
3%
12°C or higher
3%
8°C 19%
7°C 18%
5°C 14%
6°C 13%
2°C or below
9%
3°C
4%
4°C
12%
5°C
14%
6°C
13%
7°C
18%
8°C
19%
9°C
11%
10°C
5%
11°C
3%
12°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 4, projects a Toronto high of 5°C on April 8 under a mix of sun and cloud, following heavy rainfall over the April 4-5 weekend and persistent cold northerly flow with overnight lows near -6°C. This drives trader consensus, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 15-18% for 5-8°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble model spread from sources like GFS and ECMWF where partial clearing could boost diurnal heating to 8°C, while thicker clouds or lake-effect moderation cap it nearer 5°C. Lake Ontario's cool waters suppress extremes, amid below-normal April patterns from a lingering upper trough; updated EC guidance daily through April 7 may refine the outlook as inherent short-range forecast uncertainty narrows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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