KNMI observational data from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station, the market's resolution source, shows temperatures reaching 18.8°C by early afternoon on April 9 amid mostly sunny intervals and a high-pressure ridge fostering warm southerly advection, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a daily high of 20°C or higher. Forecast model consensus from ECMWF and national guidance projects a peak near 21°C, well above the April climatological average of 13°C, supported by subsidence warming and limited cloud interference. Realistic challenges include evening thunderstorms or prolonged overcast skies capping heating, though current trajectories and skin-in-the-game positioning leave scant room for a drop to 19°C; final hourly data releases will confirm by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 9?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$85,982 交易量
$85,982 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$85,982 交易量
$85,982 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
KNMI observational data from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station, the market's resolution source, shows temperatures reaching 18.8°C by early afternoon on April 9 amid mostly sunny intervals and a high-pressure ridge fostering warm southerly advection, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a daily high of 20°C or higher. Forecast model consensus from ECMWF and national guidance projects a peak near 21°C, well above the April climatological average of 13°C, supported by subsidence warming and limited cloud interference. Realistic challenges include evening thunderstorms or prolonged overcast skies capping heating, though current trajectories and skin-in-the-game positioning leave scant room for a drop to 19°C; final hourly data releases will confirm by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions