Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolving station—confirm the highest temperature on April 7, 2026, reached 2°C, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This matched pre-event forecasts projecting a daytime high near 2°C under a deep cold air mass, morning flurries, and northwest winds gusting to 50 km/h, which capped insolation and daytime heating well below the early-April climatological norm of 10–12°C. The positioning reflects strong alignment between model guidance and verified measurements amid broader southern Ontario chill. Scenarios challenging this include rare quality-control revisions to hourly data, such as sensor drift corrections, though final airport records seldom change post-preliminary release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 7?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 7?
2°C 100.0%
-4°C or below <1%
-3°C <1%
-2°C <1%
$202,070 交易量
$202,070 交易量
-4°C or below
No
-3°C
No
-2°C
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
Yes
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C or higher
No
2°C 100.0%
-4°C or below <1%
-3°C <1%
-2°C <1%
$202,070 交易量
$202,070 交易量
-4°C or below
No
-3°C
No
-2°C
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
Yes
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolving station—confirm the highest temperature on April 7, 2026, reached 2°C, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This matched pre-event forecasts projecting a daytime high near 2°C under a deep cold air mass, morning flurries, and northwest winds gusting to 50 km/h, which capped insolation and daytime heating well below the early-April climatological norm of 10–12°C. The positioning reflects strong alignment between model guidance and verified measurements amid broader southern Ontario chill. Scenarios challenging this include rare quality-control revisions to hourly data, such as sensor drift corrections, though final airport records seldom change post-preliminary release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions