Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, with ensemble means clustering near 21-22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4 amid persistent cloud cover from recent humid conditions and scattered thunderstorms over the past 48 hours. These events have cooled surface temperatures by enhancing low-level moisture and reducing insolation, countering SMN's seasonal outlook for above-normal autumn highs around 22°C historical averages. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification bringing cooler coastal air versus ridge persistence allowing midday peaks to 23-24°C; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 18%
22°C 18%
20°C 16%
23°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
16%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
5%
21°C 18%
22°C 18%
20°C 16%
23°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
17°C or below
$1,021 交易量
<1%
18°C
$629 交易量
4%
19°C
$668 交易量
5%
20°C
$711 交易量
16%
21°C
$805 交易量
18%
22°C
$718 交易量
18%
23°C
$618 交易量
16%
24°C
$773 交易量
12%
25°C
$607 交易量
4%
26°C
$1,044 交易量
5%
27°C or higher
$1,475 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, with ensemble means clustering near 21-22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4 amid persistent cloud cover from recent humid conditions and scattered thunderstorms over the past 48 hours. These events have cooled surface temperatures by enhancing low-level moisture and reducing insolation, countering SMN's seasonal outlook for above-normal autumn highs around 22°C historical averages. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification bringing cooler coastal air versus ridge persistence allowing midday peaks to 23-24°C; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$9,070結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, with ensemble means clustering near 21-22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4 amid persistent cloud cover from recent humid conditions and scattered thunderstorms over the past 48 hours. These events have cooled surface temperatures by enhancing low-level moisture and reducing insolation, countering SMN's seasonal outlook for above-normal autumn highs around 22°C historical averages. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification bringing cooler coastal air versus ridge persistence allowing midday peaks to 23-24°C; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,070結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, with ensemble means clustering near 21-22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4 amid persistent cloud cover from recent humid conditions and scattered thunderstorms over the past 48 hours. These events have cooled surface temperatures by enhancing low-level moisture and reducing insolation, countering SMN's seasonal outlook for above-normal autumn highs around 22°C historical averages. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification bringing cooler coastal air versus ridge persistence allowing midday peaks to 23-24°C; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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