Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Denver's highest temperature on April 8 will reach 56°F or higher, backed by National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting a daytime high near 66°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across HRRR, RAP, and GFS ensembles showing strong solar insolation, light southerly winds, and dry air mass advection continuing the record-hot March pattern, where average highs exceeded normals by 12°F. Climatological normals for April 8 stand at 61°F, with historical highs below 56°F occurring in fewer than 5% of cases, typically tied to Arctic outbreaks absent today. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent cloud cover disrupting heating, improbable per current satellite and radar data; official Denver International Airport observations will resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$40,777 交易量
$40,777 交易量
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$40,777 交易量
$40,777 交易量
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Denver's highest temperature on April 8 will reach 56°F or higher, backed by National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting a daytime high near 66°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across HRRR, RAP, and GFS ensembles showing strong solar insolation, light southerly winds, and dry air mass advection continuing the record-hot March pattern, where average highs exceeded normals by 12°F. Climatological normals for April 8 stand at 61°F, with historical highs below 56°F occurring in fewer than 5% of cases, typically tied to Arctic outbreaks absent today. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent cloud cover disrupting heating, improbable per current satellite and radar data; official Denver International Airport observations will resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions