Met Office's latest forecast update on April 5 projects a 22°C maximum temperature for London on April 8 at London City Airport, the market's resolution station, fueling trader consensus around 21–23°C amid a sharp warming trend. This reflects a high-pressure ridge ushering in dry, sunny conditions with light winds after early April showers, enabling stronger surface heating under lengthening spring daylight—well above the 14–15°C April climatological average. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 1–2°C divergence due to uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation, potential high cloud, or sea-breeze effects, keeping probabilities tightly matched. Watch evening model runs and April 6 observations for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 8?
Highest temperature in London on April 8?
22°C 29%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
20°C 16%
$11,362 交易量
$11,362 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
25%
22°C
29%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
7%
22°C 29%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
20°C 16%
$11,362 交易量
$11,362 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
25%
22°C
29%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office's latest forecast update on April 5 projects a 22°C maximum temperature for London on April 8 at London City Airport, the market's resolution station, fueling trader consensus around 21–23°C amid a sharp warming trend. This reflects a high-pressure ridge ushering in dry, sunny conditions with light winds after early April showers, enabling stronger surface heating under lengthening spring daylight—well above the 14–15°C April climatological average. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 1–2°C divergence due to uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation, potential high cloud, or sea-breeze effects, keeping probabilities tightly matched. Watch evening model runs and April 6 observations for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions