Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C (29.5%) and 23°C (22%) as Milan's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from Italian services like 3B Meteo and ilMeteo.it, which project peaks of 23-24°C under clear skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after recent cold snaps, rain, and snow across northern Italy, with a building high-pressure ridge ushering in above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 18-19°C at Milan airports. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and urban heat effects at measurement sites like Malpensa, with 24°C (14.5%) viable if sunshine maximizes. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected daily through April 4 could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
22°C 30%
23°C 23%
21°C 18%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
18%
22°C
30%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 30%
23°C 23%
21°C 18%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
16°C or below
$887 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,203 交易量
1%
18°C
$367 交易量
2%
19°C
$79 交易量
3%
20°C
$54 交易量
8%
21°C
$61 交易量
18%
22°C
$159 交易量
30%
23°C
$74 交易量
23%
24°C
$69 交易量
14%
25°C
$131 交易量
12%
26°C or higher
$79 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C (29.5%) and 23°C (22%) as Milan's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from Italian services like 3B Meteo and ilMeteo.it, which project peaks of 23-24°C under clear skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after recent cold snaps, rain, and snow across northern Italy, with a building high-pressure ridge ushering in above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 18-19°C at Milan airports. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and urban heat effects at measurement sites like Malpensa, with 24°C (14.5%) viable if sunshine maximizes. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected daily through April 4 could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$3,164結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C (29.5%) and 23°C (22%) as Milan's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from Italian services like 3B Meteo and ilMeteo.it, which project peaks of 23-24°C under clear skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after recent cold snaps, rain, and snow across northern Italy, with a building high-pressure ridge ushering in above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 18-19°C at Milan airports. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and urban heat effects at measurement sites like Malpensa, with 24°C (14.5%) viable if sunshine maximizes. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected daily through April 4 could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,164結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C (29.5%) and 23°C (22%) as Milan's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from Italian services like 3B Meteo and ilMeteo.it, which project peaks of 23-24°C under clear skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after recent cold snaps, rain, and snow across northern Italy, with a building high-pressure ridge ushering in above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 18-19°C at Milan airports. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and urban heat effects at measurement sites like Malpensa, with 24°C (14.5%) viable if sunshine maximizes. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected daily through April 4 could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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