Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 3, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles centering around 20–21°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering abundant sunshine and mild southerly flow into the Po Valley. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show peak afternoon heating favoring 21°C (28% implied probability) slightly over 20°C (27%), differentiated by subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap highs at 19°C (22%) if low-level moisture increases. Early April climatology supports above-average warmth (historical mean ~18°C), but diurban heat island effects amplify small forecast divergences; watch tomorrow's updated NWP guidance from Italian meteorological services for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
21°C 25%
22°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
21%
20°C
28%
21°C
25%
22°C
15%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
21°C 25%
22°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
13°C or below
$308 交易量
1%
14°C
$191 交易量
1%
15°C
$280 交易量
1%
16°C
$95 交易量
4%
17°C
$9 交易量
7%
18°C
$15 交易量
12%
19°C
$43 交易量
21%
20°C
$82 交易量
28%
21°C
$14 交易量
25%
22°C
$8 交易量
15%
23°C or higher
$37 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 3, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles centering around 20–21°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering abundant sunshine and mild southerly flow into the Po Valley. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show peak afternoon heating favoring 21°C (28% implied probability) slightly over 20°C (27%), differentiated by subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap highs at 19°C (22%) if low-level moisture increases. Early April climatology supports above-average warmth (historical mean ~18°C), but diurban heat island effects amplify small forecast divergences; watch tomorrow's updated NWP guidance from Italian meteorological services for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$1,080結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 3, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles centering around 20–21°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering abundant sunshine and mild southerly flow into the Po Valley. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show peak afternoon heating favoring 21°C (28% implied probability) slightly over 20°C (27%), differentiated by subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap highs at 19°C (22%) if low-level moisture increases. Early April climatology supports above-average warmth (historical mean ~18°C), but diurban heat island effects amplify small forecast divergences; watch tomorrow's updated NWP guidance from Italian meteorological services for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,080結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 3, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles centering around 20–21°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering abundant sunshine and mild southerly flow into the Po Valley. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show peak afternoon heating favoring 21°C (28% implied probability) slightly over 20°C (27%), differentiated by subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap highs at 19°C (22%) if low-level moisture increases. Early April climatology supports above-average warmth (historical mean ~18°C), but diurban heat island effects amplify small forecast divergences; watch tomorrow's updated NWP guidance from Italian meteorological services for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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