Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C or below (32%) and 34°C (28%), driven by the Indian Meteorological Department's (IMD) April 1 outlook forecasting near-normal to below-normal maximum temperatures across northwest and central India—including Uttar Pradesh—through April 6, following a brief early-week rise and 2-4°C moderation by April 4 under predominantly clear skies. Recent Lucknow highs near 38°C have eased amid light rain on April 2, with dry conditions and light winds promoting standard diurnal heating but limited by subdued insolation potential per model consensus. Early-April climatology averages ~36°C highs, though scattered clouds could cap peaks lower; daily IMD bulletins through April 5 will provide critical updates amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月6日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
4月6日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C或以下 38%
34°C 27%
35°C 18%
36°C 17%
33°C或以下
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
18%
36°C
17%
37°C
9%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
1%
33°C或以下 38%
34°C 27%
35°C 18%
36°C 17%
33°C或以下
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
18%
36°C
17%
37°C
9%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C or below (32%) and 34°C (28%), driven by the Indian Meteorological Department's (IMD) April 1 outlook forecasting near-normal to below-normal maximum temperatures across northwest and central India—including Uttar Pradesh—through April 6, following a brief early-week rise and 2-4°C moderation by April 4 under predominantly clear skies. Recent Lucknow highs near 38°C have eased amid light rain on April 2, with dry conditions and light winds promoting standard diurnal heating but limited by subdued insolation potential per model consensus. Early-April climatology averages ~36°C highs, though scattered clouds could cap peaks lower; daily IMD bulletins through April 5 will provide critical updates amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions