Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-term forecasts for Lucknow's April 3 maximum temperature, with 37°C leading at 24.5% amid tightly clustered odds around 34–40°C. Recent thundershowers through mid-March suppressed daytime highs to around 35°C under partly cloudy skies, but IMD's March 28 update signals mainly clear conditions persisting, potentially allowing temperatures to approach early April climatological normals of 36–38°C. Key differentiators include residual soil moisture dampening peaks toward 34–36°C if patchy clouds linger, versus drier northerly winds and intense solar heating pushing 38–40°C in sunnier scenarios. Extended-range IMD guidance pegs week-of-April 3 averages near normal, with daily forecast updates expected to refine model consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
37°C 25%
34°C or below 21%
36°C 20%
38°C 19%
34°C or below
21%
35°C
11%
36°C
20%
37°C
25%
38°C
19%
39°C
18%
40°C
17%
41°C
9%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
37°C 25%
34°C or below 21%
36°C 20%
38°C 19%
34°C or below
21%
35°C
11%
36°C
20%
37°C
25%
38°C
19%
39°C
18%
40°C
17%
41°C
9%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-term forecasts for Lucknow's April 3 maximum temperature, with 37°C leading at 24.5% amid tightly clustered odds around 34–40°C. Recent thundershowers through mid-March suppressed daytime highs to around 35°C under partly cloudy skies, but IMD's March 28 update signals mainly clear conditions persisting, potentially allowing temperatures to approach early April climatological normals of 36–38°C. Key differentiators include residual soil moisture dampening peaks toward 34–36°C if patchy clouds linger, versus drier northerly winds and intense solar heating pushing 38–40°C in sunnier scenarios. Extended-range IMD guidance pegs week-of-April 3 averages near normal, with daily forecast updates expected to refine model consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions