Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 17%
13°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
15%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
12%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 17%
13°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
9°C or below
$223 交易量
1%
10°C
$239 交易量
3%
11°C
$10 交易量
5%
12°C
$10 交易量
6%
13°C
$0 交易量
15%
14°C
$7 交易量
22%
15°C
$10 交易量
22%
16°C
$70 交易量
26%
17°C
$28 交易量
12%
18°C
$10 交易量
7%
19°C or higher
$42 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$649結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$649結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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