Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
9%
58-59°F
7%
60°F or higher
2%
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
41°F or below
$720 交易量
1%
42-43°F
$73 交易量
1%
44-45°F
$76 交易量
8%
46-47°F
$92 交易量
18%
48-49°F
$89 交易量
23%
50-51°F
$131 交易量
24%
52-53°F
$116 交易量
16%
54-55°F
$201 交易量
16%
56-57°F
$93 交易量
9%
58-59°F
$240 交易量
7%
60°F or higher
$707 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,538結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,538結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects clustered model guidance for Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 in the 46–53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts showing post-frontal cooling after today's spring-like storms and 70°F highs. A deepening upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will steer cool Canadian air southward, suppressing highs below the April 6 climatological normal of 55°F at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution site. GFS ensembles lean toward 48–50°F with lingering clouds and northwest winds, while ECMWF runs suggest slightly warmer 50–52°F potential if ridging builds; model spread creates uncertainty around exact front timing and diurnal heating. Watch NWS Chicago's afternoon updates and evening GFS initialization for shifts ahead of Sunday's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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