Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS, ECMWF, and commercial blends from AccuWeather and Weather.com, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2 around 27-28°C, with AccuWeather at 28°C (83°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and 80%+ chances of afternoon thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include the timing and extent of convective activity—persistent cloud cover and isolated showers could limit peaks to 27°C by suppressing solar heating, while brief clearing might push toward 29°C—against a backdrop of post-heatwave cooling after INMET's recent "onda de calor" through April 1. Early April climatology averages 25°C highs, but urban heat island effects and residual warmth maintain elevated odds; new model runs and INMET briefings expected today will sharpen resolution as landfall nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月2日聖保羅的最高溫度？
4月2日聖保羅的最高溫度？
28°C 34%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-02
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
26%
28°C
34%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-02
23°C或以下
$933 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,328 交易量
<1%
25°C
$524 交易量
3%
26°C
$709 交易量
11%
27°C
$658 交易量
26%
28°C
$741 交易量
34%
29°C
$999 交易量
22%
30°C
$654 交易量
5%
31°C
$1,357 交易量
2%
32°C
$629 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$918 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS, ECMWF, and commercial blends from AccuWeather and Weather.com, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2 around 27-28°C, with AccuWeather at 28°C (83°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and 80%+ chances of afternoon thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include the timing and extent of convective activity—persistent cloud cover and isolated showers could limit peaks to 27°C by suppressing solar heating, while brief clearing might push toward 29°C—against a backdrop of post-heatwave cooling after INMET's recent "onda de calor" through April 1. Early April climatology averages 25°C highs, but urban heat island effects and residual warmth maintain elevated odds; new model runs and INMET briefings expected today will sharpen resolution as landfall nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$9,446結束日期
2026-04-02市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS, ECMWF, and commercial blends from AccuWeather and Weather.com, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2 around 27-28°C, with AccuWeather at 28°C (83°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and 80%+ chances of afternoon thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include the timing and extent of convective activity—persistent cloud cover and isolated showers could limit peaks to 27°C by suppressing solar heating, while brief clearing might push toward 29°C—against a backdrop of post-heatwave cooling after INMET's recent "onda de calor" through April 1. Early April climatology averages 25°C highs, but urban heat island effects and residual warmth maintain elevated odds; new model runs and INMET briefings expected today will sharpen resolution as landfall nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,446結束日期
2026-04-02市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS, ECMWF, and commercial blends from AccuWeather and Weather.com, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2 around 27-28°C, with AccuWeather at 28°C (83°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and 80%+ chances of afternoon thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include the timing and extent of convective activity—persistent cloud cover and isolated showers could limit peaks to 27°C by suppressing solar heating, while brief clearing might push toward 29°C—against a backdrop of post-heatwave cooling after INMET's recent "onda de calor" through April 1. Early April climatology averages 25°C highs, but urban heat island effects and residual warmth maintain elevated odds; new model runs and INMET briefings expected today will sharpen resolution as landfall nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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